Jack Draper vs Joao Fonseca Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve: Fonseca recently wins 47.37% of points on their second serve, slightly ahead of Draper who secures 46.07%.
• Return Game: Draper edges Fonseca by winning 43.27% of points on opponents' second serves, compared to Fonseca's 42.57%. Their first serve return percentages are similarly close, with Draper at 24.64% versus Fonseca’s 24.3%.
• Pressure Handling: Draper is slightly more successful under pressure, saving 59.86% of breakpoints, outperforming Fonseca’s 58.98%.
• Overall Performance: Draper has shown superior consistency over the last year, winning 75.76% of his matches, while Fonseca has won 70.59%.
• Surface Preference: Fonseca excels on Hard courts with a 76% win rate, whereas Draper shows strength on indoor hard courts at 74%. Both exhibit lower performance on Grass, with Fonseca at 33% and Draper at 57%.
• Competition Level: Draper's match experience in the Masters series is more prestigious compared to Fonseca's focus on the Challengers/ITF circuit.
• Head-to-Head: Draper leads the direct matchups, having defeated Fonseca in their only encounter in straight sets at the BNP Paribas Open.
• Set Deciders: Draper boasts a higher success rate in deciding sets, winning 73% compared to Fonseca’s 55% over the past year.
• Opponent Quality: Draper consistently competes against higher-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 44.38, whereas Fonseca’s opponents average a rank of 113.9.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Draper’s conversion rate is higher at 33.1%, compared to Fonseca’s 30.61%.

Editorial Prediction (May 31, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the current form and statistical performance of both players, Draper demonstrates a slight edge over Fonseca in several key areas. His second serve may be slightly weaker, but his return game is more effective, making him a difficult opponent for Fonseca's serve.

Under pressure, Draper is more likely to save break points and capitalize on opportunities, further solidifying his advantage in crucial moments of the match. Furthermore, Draper’s superior experience at higher-level tournaments such as the Masters series suggests a greater ability to perform against tougher competition.

Fonseca performs well on Hard courts, yet Draper’s comprehensive strength on indoor surfaces and his strong track record against higher-ranking opponents give him a slight edge in this matchup. Given these factors, Draper is more likely to claim victory in the upcoming tennis match.